New York Tax Incentives May Depend on WGA Strike Resolution

We recently looked at a juicy new set of tax incentives on the table for shows filmed in the New York area. However, the New York State legislature this week called on the AMPTP to return swiftly to the bargaining table with the WGA with a veiled threat that the strike’s outcome could affect future funding of the tax incentive program. Blake & Wang P.A entertainment lawyer, Brandon Blake, has all the news.

Brandon Blake

Expanded Program

New York expanded their film incentives program from $400M to $700M as part of the state budget approved in April 2023. The recent threat is backed by 20 state senators and 34 members of the state Assembly, and encourages the AMPTP to return to the bargaining table as soon as possible, echoing many of the same talking points we’ve seen the WGA themselves raise since the strike began.

‘Essential to Well-Being’

The communication is surprisingly strongly worded, too, including the following statement:

“It is unacceptable for writers to have their earnings decline, in some instances as much as 23%, inflation-adjusted, in the last ten years while studio, network, and streaming companies’ profits soar.”

In the statement, they circle back to the number of tax dollars spent on AMPTP projects in the state, and lampoon the association for utilizing these credits but seeming unwilling to enter into ‘fair collective bargaining agreements.’ They also cite the number of WGA members living and working in the NYC area, and the importance of these careers to the state, and state:

“We find it distasteful that companies insist on hiring writers on a day-to-day basis in a race to the bottom to make employment in this area akin to the gig industry rather than treating members of the Writers Guild of America as the professionals they are.”

The message ends with a call to return to the bargaining table with a fair mindset on all sides. It’s perhaps the most powerful independent statement on the state of the striking industry we’ve seen to date. Will it have an impact? Dangling the future of their tax incentive program as bait may well get some attention, but so far, there seems to be little progress in ending the stalemate. We’ll keep you updated as things change.

SkyShowtime Catch Attention with Ambitious European Originals Slate

SkyShowtime, Comcast and Paramount Global’s Euro streaming joint venture, has unveiled a brand-new slate of original series for its first year- something very few streaming services have pulled off. Unveiled during a keynote appearance at the renowned Cannes Film Festival’s Marché du Film, Brandon Blake, one of the best entertainment lawyers in los angeles from Blake & Wang P.A, has all the news.

                                     

Brandon Blake

10 SkyShowtime Originals

Drawing from a wealth of countries and regions, the 10-strong original slate will begin premiering this year, leading into the 2024 calendar year. It’s an ambitious milestone for the newly minted joint venture, currently operating in 22 markets.

One of the original series, Codename: Annika (working title ID) stems from the Nordic language group, and is a key part of the deal struck with Warner Bros Discovery for exclusive European rights to 21 of their HBO Max Euro Originals.

Other Titles to Expect

In the last 18 months, we’ve seen all the key streaming services turn their eye to non-English language content as a way to both broaden their slates and attract new regional subscribers to their services. This appears to be a model SkyShowtime wants to mine heavily. Polish drama Warszawianka, Spanish series Mentiras Pasajeras and Las Invisibles, and Czech and Slovakian comedy The Winner are all likewise included in the unveiled slate. They will join the already released Spanish series Bosé and Los Enviados, already available on the service.

Round out the slate with Poker Face, a Peacock hit, Django (a reimagined version of the 1966 classic) and Showtime comedy The Curse, due to release later this year. They also have exclusive premier rights to Special Ops: Lioness.

The SkyShowtime premise has always been a dedication to European content, and this rather impressive 10-strong slate is a robust start to deliver on that promise. It’s certainly ambitious- we can’t think of another newly minted streamer aiming for such a complicated and diverse slate in its first year of operations. Now all that’s left is to see how European audiences respond to it.

Netflix Finally Gets Wall Street Blessings Again as Ad-Tier Soars

2022 was not Netflix’s year. Despite the setbacks, however, it seems their decision to add an ad-supported tier to their subscription packages could be paying off in spades. With over 5M active monthly users for the new tier, it was a critical focus of their first TV Upfront presentation- and seems to have won Wall Street approval, too. Brandon Blake, entertainment lawyer Los Angeles with Blake & Wang P.A, has all the news.

Stock Price Jump

After their Upfronts presentation, despite a change to a virtual event at the last minute, Netflix stock jumped a rather mighty 9%. It closed at $371.29 on the back of supportive subscriber numbers and major growth for the new tier. Of course, it’s worth noting that those numbers are 5M active monthly accounts, not actual subscriber numbers- but then, Netflix has never been comfortable discussing its subscriber base in too much data-driven detail. And no doubt advertisers looking for a solid partner will be taking note regardless.

Brandon Blake

Other Positive Metrics

The news that over 25% of new Netflix subscriptions, with a median age of 34-prime targets for ad marketing-  are going to the cheaper ad-supported tier will be cheering news for Wall Street, too. Especially now the era of constantly booming subscription numbers is well and truly bust. That’s a lot of traction to gain in only half a year of availability, especially with a notoriously rocky start.

On the ad member side, we’ve heard that it has ‘more than doubled’ this year alone. Interestingly, Netflix has managed this off the back of a programming lineup with zero live marquee sports programming, too- something that has become a key hope for subscription increases on other streaming platforms.

While there’s still a long way to go before Netflix recovers the peak of its share price, let alone public goodwill, it seems they launched their ad-supported tier at the perfect time for the market. And in a year riddled with advertising and subscription downturns both, that- and Netflix’s notoriety as one of the few streamers operating in the black- is news worth celebrating.

European Box Office Sees Significant Upswing

In more good news for global Box Office figures, we’ve seen a huge upswing in the European Box Office numbers for 2022 and 2023 alike. With a significant uptick in both attendance and film grosses, it may not be a return to the coveted pre-pandemic benchmarks, but it is certainly worth paying attention to. Brandon Blake, entertainment lawyer at Blake & Wang P.A, has all the news for us.

Strong Admissions and Gross Box Office Numbers

In what amounts to a 70% upward jump in 2022, we see admissions passing the 650M mark across the UK and EU, with gross Box Office figures of over $5.5B. Most of this surge can be laid at the door of top-grossing mega-pictures like Avatar 2 and Top Gun: Maverick, but at this point, any good news is welcome. For now, that figure leaves us at 67% of admission averages for the 2017-2019 period, with about a 29% decline on the gross Box Office figures from the same time. In an uncertain market and bearing in mind the knock-on effects of pandemic pipeline shortages still very much active in 2022, however, it’s still good news.

Brandon Blake

Varying Markets

Interestingly, however, the figures are far from holistic across the major European markets. Italy continues to languish at barely half of its pre-pandemic numbers, while France has seen a robust recovery to over 80% of its pre-pandemic levels. Also intriguingly, European films are still struggling to gain real cross-market traction or even national theatrical break-outs. Other than Warner Bros’ Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, which can nominally be considered a British production, no European film has managed to sell more than 5 million tickets or make an entry into the European Top 25.

So there’s still a lot of room for growth. However, 2022 was generally seen as a sluggish Box Office year, and the 2023 slate is already looking more promising than expected. With this news to buoy it, let’s hope we see bigger and better things going forward.

Warner Bros Discovery Expects Streaming Profitability a Year Early

The race for steaming profitability is heating up. With all platforms (but long-established Netflix and Hulu) racing to get their balance sheets into the black, mostly with dismal results, Warner Bros Discovery has now announced they expect to see profitability within the 2023 period. Entertainment lawyer from Blake & Wang P.A, Brandon Blake, shares the news.

Dismal Q1 Results

The news no doubt came as a pleasant surprise to Warner Bros Discovery stockholders. It was certainly the only good news from their Q1 results, too, with the company losing another $1.1B on the non-adjusted net. However, the domestic streaming portfolio for the company did produce a $50M profit before adjustments. While $1.1B is nothing to sneeze at, it is a substantial reduction on 2022’s Q4 loss of $2.1B, itself a downward trend on earlier results.

This means they could be the third streaming service currently on the market to hit the black, with Disney+ still predicting profit for their 2024 year, and Peacock and Paramount+ both wavering badly and unlikely to realistically reach the target before 2025, if ever.

Brandon Blake

New Subscriber Growth

The HBO Max and Discovery+ streaming services added a combined 1.6M subscribers in Q1, too, bringing them to 97.6M combined subscribers, an improvement on 2022’s Q4, which onboarded 1.1M new subs. While it may not yet be fully profitable, this does represent significant strides forward for the company, especially as it is only just exiting its first full year post-merger and has undergone a significant amount of business restructuring over that period.

Will we really see that coveted profitability this year? CEO David Zaslav seems to believe so. Despite this quarter’s negative free cash flow (to the tune of $930M), much of this can be chalked up to the need to make cyclic payments for sporting rights and we should see an improvement later this year. As for the rest? We can only wait and see.

Peacock’s Losses Take a Painful Plunge

With Wall Street turning away from subscriber numbers to focus on profits and sustainable balance sheets, Peacock was known to be in an unenviable position. While all of the streaming platforms bar Netflix itself are still finding their way into the black, Peacock’s deepening losses and slow growth have been working against it for a while. With the news of another steep and painful loss for Q1, and no real sign of it turning around any time soon, does this mean Peacock could find itself on the chopping block as we inevitably see shrinkage in the streaming market? Blake & Wang P.A entertainment lawyer, Brandon Blake, unpacks the news.

$700M Loss


Unveiled as part of the wider Comcast earnings update, Peacock managed a staggering $700M loss in Q1 despite an upward turn in subscriber numbers. Now at 22M, a 60% increase on the same period last year, it wasn’t enough to match operating costs. Peacock’s revenue total was $685M, significantly behind the EBITDA loss of $704M.

2023 was predicted to be the peak of Peacock’s losses, and it seems they weren’t exaggerating! It’s currently estimated they could turn in an overall loss of $3B this year.

Overall Declines

While the overall Comcast balance sheet looked a little better, it still hasn’t brought anything to the table to get excited about. Overall we see their content and experiences division drop by 9.5%, with adjusted earnings ending flat. The studio division did see a 13% upturn, but the advertising division turned in a dull 21% drop on the back of a tighter advertising environment. With an unanticipated high-level departure in their ranks, too, it seems Peacock has a lot of ground to regain if it wants to make a case for itself as a true streaming competitor.

While execs were keen to write these dull returns off as just an expected part of the business, it’s hard to see a compelling argument for that competitiveness at present. Unless 2024 brings considerably better things for the platform, Peacock may yet find itself on the streaming chopping block.

The Great Netflix Password Crackdown is On Us

Netflix have finally come to the table with more details about the much-debated password sharing crackdown. A move that resulted in a lot of poor press for them, converting to paid sharing at a time when they’ve already been buffeted by poor publicity sounds pig-headed at best- but luckily we have Brandon Blake from Blake & Wang P.A to give the entertainment attorney’s perspective on the matter.

Brandon Blake

Quarter 2 Rollout

The rollout will begin for the US market as of the second quarter. However, we have also seen them trial the password crackdown in Latin America from January this year, with considerable momentum through February as the replacement paid sharing option became available. At the moment, this plan is available in New Zealand, Spain, Canada, and Portugal. It allows for 2 active users outside the primary user’s home for a price between 3.99-5.99 Euros, or $7.99 CAD or NZD. What will the domestic price be? We’ve yet to find out- and you’d think they might have wanted better clarity on that matter with the rollout coming fast. All we know is that pricing, “will be higher in more affluent countries.” Fair? Possibly. Good publicity? We aren’t so sure! While the crackdown is, at the heart, merely an attempt to squeeze more profitability out of the same few subscribers, stating it so openly does leave a bit of a bad taste.

Pleased With Results

While the removal of a ‘service’ they once actively encouraged was always going to be problematic publicity-wise, especially with the oddly combative and blame-heavy spin they’ve put on it to the public, hey seem content with the results of the Q1 rollout to date. Acquisitions and revenue have gone up with the ‘extra member’ accounts (naturally) for the Latin American area, now growing faster than the US.

Is that really ‘growth’, however? Debatable, but Wall Street seems to like it, and also believe the paid sharing option will work in tandem with their new ad-supported tier to boost numbers. For now, we can simply wait and see what happens as more territories make the change.

Super Mario Bros Props Up Theatrical Stocks

Super Mario Bros has definitely been the unexpected hit of the 2023 box office so far. As an unpredicted side effect of this exceptional launch for the Nintendo franchise, we have now seen share prices for a range of top theatrical chains pop too. Entertainment lawyer from Blake & Wang P.A, Brandon Blake, takes a closer look at the news.

Brandon Blake

AMC Receives a Welcome Boost

Despite it’s now infamous ‘memestock’ boom, the AMC share price has been languishing as the box office recovery stalled at the end of 2022. Off the back of the surprisingly solid performance from Super Mario Bros, however, it saw a 7%, or 35c, boost to its share price. Cinemark achieved a similar benchmark. IMAX, which is one of the few theatrical chains to have seen very little disruption from the pandemic shutdowns, also saw a 5% ($1.05) jump. For Imax in particular, Super Mario Bros has also brought it the top opening of all time in the animation category, earning about $375.6M of the global takings for the film.

While the boost won’t manage to offset the pandemic disruptions entirely, the rise in stock prices will doubtless help the chains struggling with heavy debt after the pandemic closures. It isn’t a full return to pre-COVID numbers, but it is certainly a welcome breather.

The Video Game Surprise

And unlike the successes of films like Top Gun:Maverick and Avater:The Way of Water, this boom is rather unexpected. Historically, video game franchises like Super Mario Bros have not played well to audiences, and this may well be the first truly successful video game IP we’ve seen in a long time.

While a slump in product could still seriously impair the wider box office recovery, and with a slate that’s still smaller than is needed set for 2023, it’s another welcome sign that fans are keen to return to the theatrical experience. And that’s good news for the whole industry.

Singapore Courts International Productions with New Fund

We’ve seen more and more locations enter the market in attempts to lure location shoots and film/TV projects to their locales over the last few years. Now it’s time to add Singapore to the pile, too. With the announcement of a $7.5M TV and Film Fund to court international productions that highlight the country as a travel destination, there’s even more scope for those looking for appealing shoot destinations. Blake & Wang P.A entertainment lawyer, Brandon Blake, has the details.

Bradon Blake

The Fund


Established as a joint venture between the Infocomm Media Development Authority (IMDA) and the Singapore Tourism Board (STB), the fund is accessible to all international entertainment/media companies making global content that will highlight Singapore’s appeal. Potential projects will be evaluated for market reach, distribution agreements, concept and ‘creative merit’, as well as how much focus on the area is shown on screen and how much local talent is used in credited roles. Successful projects will have up to 30% of qualifying costs (again with the ‘related to featuring Singapore’ caveat) returned, including marketing and production costs. To qualify, the project needs to launch by Q1 in 2027.


The Destination Boom


In fairness, unlike some of the tax incentives we’ve seen leveraged to attract location shoots both within US borders and internationally, the new fund has a limited budget and clear focus. But the Singapore On-Screen Fund, as it is being named, shares a common feature with other such incentives we’ve seen launched- the urge to get themselves a slice of the ever-more lucrative destination shoot boom. With an acceleration in ‘content creation’ across streaming platforms, it was inevitable we’d see the demand for shoot space increase, both for soundstages and location shoots. We expect to see even more incentives like this arise globally as the demand accelerates.

Mubi and Sony Strike New Content Deal

As we’ve seen with the meteoric appeal of The Last of Us to UK audiences via Comcast/HBO’s content carriage deal with Sky, a great content carriage deal can be a critical part of both growth and audience traction, especially for smaller platforms without the budgets to invest heavily in developing their own original content. With studios becoming more focused on retaining content for their own platforms, however, these deals have been harder to come by, but this week we see Mubi strike a fantastic deal with Sony Pictures for library content. Blake & Wang P.A entertainment attorney, Brandon Blake, has more focus.

Brandon Blake

The Unique Sony Position

With more and more of the so-called ‘legacy’ studios launching their own streaming platforms, Sony has chosen to take a different position. One that involves licensing its compelling library of content to the highest bidder (or, rather, several). The company is on-record as seeing this as a unique selling proposition for their coveted titles, allowing them to remain agile (and in the black) in an era where many of the newer streaming platforms are struggling to reach profitability. So far, it is working well for them indeed.

The Mubi Deal

Mubi, which also acts as a distributor and has even ventured into the production arena of late, also offers a unique theatrical deal with its premium Mubi Go service, allowing for a free movie ticket each week for a selected film in key locations through the US. This has made it something of a darling with Indie distributors, who have seen an uptick in audiences from the offer. It currently offers its base plan to US markets for $12.99 a month, or $17.99 with the Mubi Go option. While we have no clear subscription numbers for them, they do suggest a ‘community’ figure of around 12M members.

The new deal will see them add to the 900+ titles already on their US service with 50 new additions from the Sony library, mostly studio and arthouse fare. They add one new movie to the platform daily. Each Sony title will receive its own window, with some going to immediate accessibility and others cycling onto the platform through the end of 2024. No doubt this new haul from Sony, which includes cult classics like Close Encounters of the Third Kind, will be a fantastic drawcard for the service.